Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 12.475619 14.031905 15.778553 17.898289 20.420390 23.349493 27.044421
2025-07-06 10.084431 11.969137 14.248376 17.252383 21.176379 26.229220 33.402092
2025-07-13 9.722133 12.041677 15.021166 19.229667 25.195214 33.640922 47.090628
2025-07-20 9.016736 11.517481 14.875065 19.872645 27.424951 38.977294 59.285943
2025-07-27 8.118510 10.599728 14.038723 19.358357 27.795215 41.503277 67.622475
2025-08-03 7.704087 10.288470 13.991072 19.957494 29.930629 47.268740 83.566094
2025-08-10 7.136106 9.691626 13.445097 19.685542 30.553965 50.504756 95.701965
2025-08-17 6.654062 9.172156 12.953368 19.419723 31.114633 53.711039 109.007879
2025-08-24 6.266331 8.758110 12.578272 19.288807 31.876642 57.464900 125.255096
2025-08-31 5.856622 8.276621 12.049199 18.822397 31.917142 59.702451 138.608315
2025-09-07 5.549682 7.931743 11.709151 18.645877 32.488306 63.240963 157.566144
2025-09-14 5.155610 7.422269 11.056661 17.829959 31.632456 63.259964 165.599655
2025-09-21 4.760297 6.900331 10.367834 16.921692 30.549207 62.733738 172.608571
2025-09-28 4.454148 6.506248 9.870580 16.331344 30.078184 63.701198 186.051234
2025-10-05 4.567705 6.805667 10.588640 18.164574 35.314426 81.538216 284.481529
2025-10-12 4.477305 6.755047 10.680996 18.759801 37.815212 92.728361 369.966865
2025-10-19 4.244162 6.445630 10.279388 18.283770 37.588768 95.325567 411.622338
2025-10-26 4.166652 6.400121 10.359509 18.838304 40.110202 108.163110 544.179092
2025-11-02 3.992348 6.174271 10.084030 18.586653 40.444424 113.420737 632.984809
2025-11-09 3.831538 5.963677 9.823180 18.340589 40.755730 118.793162 738.209402
2025-11-16 3.696611 5.792283 9.626279 18.219369 41.406206 125.893590 885.700597
2025-11-23 3.535666 5.566003 9.308171 17.787325 41.077047 128.785192 996.246014
2025-11-30 3.414503 5.406489 9.112091 17.623738 41.533911 135.480622 1192.283275